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IDC Bullish on Windows Phone 7

Whenever I've mentioned technology analysts, you, the loyal and brilliant Redmond Report reader, cackle. There is a distinct lack of respect, especially for the more pretentious firms out there (you know who they are).

So you must forgive me if I am more than a bit skeptical about IDC's latest mobile phone predictions. I lay 'em on you, and you tell me if they make sense.

Android is in the lead now with a bit less than 40 percent of the market (moving up to 45.4 percent by 2015). Okay, no huge beef here.

Here's where it gets sketchy:. The iPhone will lose share by 2015, going from a current 15.7 percent to 15.3 percent. When what the last time Steve Jobs lost market share? The BlackBerry will also decline from 14.9 percent to 13.7 percent.

And Windows phones will go from 5.5 percent to 20.95 percent, putting it in second place. Microsoft must be serving IDC analysts a particularly strong form of Kool-Aid to get these kinds of predictions.

Windows phone users more than welcome to disagree at dbarney@redmondmag.com.

Posted by Doug Barney on 03/30/2011 at 1:18 PM


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